Labour may have won enough support in the South West to overtake the Conservatives, according to an exclusive nationwide survey of voting intentions.
34% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 25% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign.
The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 26%, compared to 31% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
This may not be reflected at a more local level though, with Dorset a Conservative stronghold.
A similar survey at the start of May found 39% of respondents in the region said they were planning to vote Tory on June 8 compared to the 36% who said they voted for the party in 2015, while the Labour vote was at 28%, up from the 27% who said they had voted for the party in 2015.
Other parties have seen their vote share squeezed by the contest between Labour and Conservatives - the UKIP vote was 3.3%, compared to 4.3% saying they supported the party at the start of the campaign, the Greens were 3.8%, down from 4.7%, although the Lib Dems have seen a small increase and were on 8.7%, up from 8.6%.
Three-quarters of people who planned to vote Conservative at the start of the campaign are still backing the party (74%), but 10% have switched to Labour, and 9% say they are no longer sure who they will vote for.
Labour on the other hand seem to be picking up support from all sides, while 92% of those who planned to vote Labour at the start of the campaign are sticking with their party, 29% of people who previously planned to vote Lib Dem said they have switched to Labour, as have 20% of those who had been planning to vote Green, and 3% of those previously backing UKIP.
More than a quarter of respondents who said they were not sure what their vote would be at the start of the campaign are now behind Labour, 28%, compared to 6% who have decided to vote Conservative, although 56% still have not made up their minds.
Labour's potentially improving prospects may be down in part to Jeremy Corbyn's performance, 58% of respondents in the region think he's had the best general election campaign.
While 91% of those planning to vote Labour think Corbyn has been having the best campaign, so do 70% of Lib Dem voters and 47% of Green voters, for both a bigger proportion than think the leader of the respective party they are backing is doing best.
Of those planning to vote Conservative, 71% think Theresa May has had the best campaign, while a fifth, 22%, think Jeremy Corbyn's has been better.
Most respondents said the party they were voting for was most important, rather than the party leader, or the local candidate.
Party was particularly important for those planning to vote Labour, 71% put it top compared to 60% of those planning to vote Conservative.
Theresa May's campaign, which has more strongly focused on her seems to have had an impact, with 33% of those planning to vote Tory saying the leader of the party was the most important thing to them.
Social care and the NHS are the issues most likely to determine how a third of respondents are planning to vote, 34%, including 53% of those planning to vote Labour and 39% of Lib Dem voters, followed by Brexit, the key issue for 24% of respondents, including 53% of Conservative voters and 36% of UKIP voters.
Three-fifths in the region (59%) said they have had candidate's leaflets sent in the post, and 12% said they has seen a candidate or campaigner locally and 10% said a campaigner had knocked on their door. However, a third, 33%, said they have seen candidates, campaigners or received leaflets.
IN OTHER AREAS
- EAST - 34% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 25% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 26%, compared to 32% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
- EAST MIDLANDS - 40% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 32% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 23%, compared to 29% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
- LONDON - 37% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 28% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 24%, compared to 26% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
- NORTH EAST - 48% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 39% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 22%, compared to 23% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
- NORTH WEST - 46% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 40% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 21%, compared to 23% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
- SOUTH EAST - 32% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 25% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 27%, compared to 31% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
- WEST MIDLANDS - 41% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 32% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 24%, compared to 30% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
- YORKSHIRE & HUMBER - 43% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 35% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 22%, compared to 25% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
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SCOTLAND - Labour may be cutting into the SNP's support.
Across the country, 29% of people said they are planning to vote SNP later this week, compared to 34% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing Labour is at 17%, compared to 13% backing the party at the start of the campaign, while support for the Tories is static at 16%.
- WALES - Across the country, 41% of people said they are planning to vote Labour later this week, compared to 34% who said that was their planned vote at the start of the election campaign. The proportion of respondents backing the Tories is at 22%, compared to 25% backing the party at the start of the campaign.
The survey was carried out online in partnership with Google Surveys on newspaper websites, publisher sites and Google’s native app.
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